NFL Picks Thanksgiving 2020 The analysis and the pool for Houston vs Detroit and Washington vs Dallas
The NFL has its annual banquet on Thursdays. Thanksgiving arrives and since 2006, practically from noon to almost midnight there is professional football, with three games that make up an important part of the Christmas holiday. Thanksgiving.
But the blessed pandemic made Wednesday the most anticipated match, the rematch between Ravens y Steelers, who will move for Sunday afternoon, leaving the ‘always’ teams at Thanksgiving, Dallas and Detroit, and all teams are at least 2 games under .500. Yikes
With these two duels we begin this week’s forecasts, which have had a very bad month, the worst in the years that we have been doing this. Some unfortunate situations, such as lesin de Joey Burrow and some more, but they are defeats. Nothing to do. One is grateful for the first 8 weeks of the season or this will be quite heavy crockery.
But the windshield is much bigger than the rear view mirror for something. So it’s time to focus on the task in turn, which is seeing the first two games of week 12, which we publish now, and the rest, on Friday afternoon.
As always, the dotted line according to NFL Picks Watch entre parntesis. Winner vs. Uppercase Betting Line. Doubts, suggestions and comments, we will gladly address them on Twitter @ hlazzeri13.
The 3-7 Texans are favorites against the 4-6 Lions. It seems that something smells bad in this line, but the point here is that Detroit has an injured midfielder.
Kenny Golladay did not play. Neither does Danny Amendola. Rookie D’Andre Swift is doubtful and didn’t play last Sunday because of shock. And perhaps the most important: Mattehew Stafford has torn ligaments in his thumb from his pitching hand. He played against Carolina, but did it fatal, with his worst game in rating and just 5.39 yards per pass attempt. Be it the absences or the finger, something is wrong … and playing three days later, I would not expect a substantial improvement.
Houston isn’t the eighth defensive wonder; quite the opposite, but if Carolina held them back … Detroit allowed 20 points to a former XFL as QB, and it should be 34 for two interceptions in the end zone.. Houston has a better attack and they still have the good news that Laremy Tunsil recovered from the cold or similar that he had and prevented him from playing on Sunday. One of Detroit’s starting crners, rookie Okudah, didn’t play, nor did two rotation linemen. The Texans should be able to move the ball.
As I said, I don’t like the line, less considering that Teams that go blank one week are 17-5-2 against the line the next, because nobody wants to support them after such a bad display. But honestly I cannot support a team that has a QB with serious problems in his throwing hand, without weapons to catch a pass, with his stellar runner maybe out and with a very, very bad defense. Oh, and with Matt Patricia as head coach; Not that Rommeo Crennel is a panacea, but at least Houston has fewer health problems. TEXANS (-3) 27, Lions 20.
‘Partidazo’ enter the NFC (P) East. Both are 3-7, half a game behind Philadelphia, so a win is more than vital for both.
Much has changed since just a month ago, when Washington aplast 25-3 a Dallas. In that match, Kyle Allen He was the Washington QB and now he is Alex Smith. Washington has also lost its two starting safeties, Landon Collins and Deshazor Everett, and by itself it is not a very solid defense, that taking away that game against the Cowboys, had allowed all opponents at least 17, with four matches over 30. There is talk of their solid defensive line, but the unit really is not good and yes, they beat Cincinnati 20-9, but were down 9-7 before Joe Burrow’s injury, and it could have been worse if not for two field goals and one extra point missed by Randy Bullock.
They were very lucky to win against Cincy despite scoring just 20 against poor Cincinnati defense. Your offense doesn’t generate enough, and there is a very striking fact: in all the games except one (the previous one with Dallas) they have been losing at halftime. The game plans haven’t improved on Alex Smith, which sounds weird, but he’s done less than Kyle Allen and maybe Dwayne Haskins. His terrible injury robbed him of his mobility and he was always one of the consummate ‘Captain Escape Valve’.
On the other hand, Dallas is on the rise. In this match of week 7, they had an offensive line worse than destroyed; a month later, They have two starters back and against Minnesota they made a key move: move Zack Martin to right tackle, and that boosted his attack … although it was against Minnesota’s pretty bad defense. Still, they should be able to protect Andy Dalton much better, and that opens the door to finding their receivers in Washington’s weak and depleted perimeter.
In defence, Dallas also now has its best skull, Chidobe Awuzie, and at least they have already put more pressure on the rival QB against Minnesota and Pittsburgh. For an attack like the one Alex Smith leads, having linebackers with speed like Jaylon Smith and Leighton Vander Esch is vital to cover short zones, screen passes, etc. I see you with options to limit Washington.
I don’t like the line in the least in this match, maybe If Dallas had lost (as well as they could) in Minnesota, there would be something of value with the Cowboys, that even though each year they play on turkey day, they do not give good results (2-7 against the line this decade), but it is also true that Washington has a historically bad time on Thanksgiving (they have lost 8 of 9 against Dallas) and what favorites have printed money lately on Thanksgiving (35-13 against the line since 2003). Without much conviction … COWBOYS (-3) 27, Football Team 22.
- Week 1: 8-8 straight, 9-6-1 against the betting line
- Week 2: 13-3 straight, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 3: 9-6-1 direct, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 4: 7-8 straight, 7-7-1 against the betting line
- Week 5: 11-3 straight, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 6: 8-6 straight, 7-7 against the betting line
- Week 7: 11-3 direct, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 8: 9-5 direct, 11-3 against the betting line
- Week 9: 7-7 direct, 1-13 against the betting line
- Week 10: 7-7 straight, 5-9 against the betting line
- Week 11: 5-9 straight, 4-10 against the betting line