NFL Picks 2020 Week 15 The analysis and the pool for the fifteenth week of action on the grid
LNFL teams want arrive at your best at the end of the season, that the yield curve is at the highest when the Playoffs approach. The picks are also searched … and boy have we done it.
The season has been a roller coaster ride. From week 1 to 8, there was not a single refusal (although to be honest, four were .500), a skid 56%, exceeding the 52% necessary to win in this of the bets. From there, each through the ravine, because the worst week of the almost three years of this space arrived (1-13 in 9), and the bleeding didn’t stop until three weeks later, down 7 games from .500. But you have to trust the process and the results came back even better than before. How much? 24-7 in recent weeks, returning 10 games above .500. You have to get excited at the good times of the season.
Week 14 was the best in three years, 13-3 against the line, with covers miraculous Miami and Detroit, before having half a point in favor before to the safety who changed millions at the Ravens-Browns. There were three failures: Jets (I don’t bet nearly 2 touchdown favorites), Giants (party that smelled bad, intimates it … and I did not choose Arizona, it seems that Kyler already san) Bengals (Big mistake, they suck without Burrow). The week could be better. Lessons learned (I hope).
We repeat the formula of practically the whole season, publishing the Thursday Night pick today, and on Friday afternoon, after the official injury reports, the rest of the forecasts will come out. Remember that there are games on Saturday, we are not going to miss two games … there are few left this year.
As always, the dotted line according to NFL Picks Watch entre parntesis. Winner vs. Uppercase Betting Line. Doubts, suggestions and comments, we will gladly address them on Twitter @ hlazzeri13.
Mother of blessed love, the Chargers. Give them credit for trying to innovate each week when it comes to tragic defeats. They were on their way to it, but Atlanta beat them to charger-eadas. God bless Georgia too.
LA is very talented. More than Raiders. But out of mercy, Anthony Lynn … what you’re doing with Justin Herbert is a crime. Not just the dismal clock management, but inexplicably with perhaps the best rookie QB in several years, who was in the top 10 in rating and BEST IN SCORE PASSES from week 5 to 11 … I decided it wasn’t good and tried to turn him into an exhaust valve captain.
Lynn showed his track record as a running back coach, saw Austin Ekeler return, and I decided it was a good idea to change the style, throwing short passes. Captain exhaust valve. And after averaging 30 points through week 11 … the last three have not exceeded 20. God blessed. And it’s no coincidence: Herby’s passes went from averaging 7.8 yards in the air to 5.9 … only Brees and Smith averaged less. It’ll be fine if his QB doesn’t have an arm, but Herbert has a bazooka.
In front, the Raiders, that their defense is falling apart. Jets (YES, THE BLESSED JETS!) Rushed them for over 200 yards, the same as the Colts. And things look worse because Thursday they will not have four starters in defense (Arnette and Abram in high school, Ferrell on the line, Morrow on the linebackers). In addition, on offense they won’t have Henry Ruggs, which is the receiver who cares about his speed. Gruden will surely have a clever game plan, seeing as Chargers defense is pretty bad against heavy formations (They allow 142.7 rating and 62% hit play to staff 12) and now they will be without their main middle linebacker, Perryman, and a safety who plays a lot in the box, Adderley (ex San Diego plays a lot with 5 or more safety as base defense) . Josh Jacobs could race against these light formations.
Raiders is going to score enough. Can the Chargers?
I think S. Even the Jets scored 28 points on them in the last month. And that was with the defense less hit. It could be that Lynn recognizes that it is not a good idea to give so many plays to a depleted Ekeler and release Herbert. Raiders play the season, yes, but both sides are worse than in the first game, which they won by a miracle. That extra half point is too much and since we’re in those … God have mercy on my soul. CHARGERS (+3.5) 27, Raiders 24.
- Week 1: 8-8 straight, 9-6-1 against the betting line
- Week 2: 13-3 straight, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 3: 9-6-1 direct, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 4: 7-8 straight, 7-7-1 against the betting line
- Week 5: 11-3 straight, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 6: 8-6 straight, 7-7 against the betting line
- Week 7: 11-3 direct, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 8: 9-5 direct, 11-3 against the betting line
- Week 9: 7-7 direct, 1-13 against the betting line
- Week 10: 7-7 straight, 5-9 against the betting line
- Week 11: 5-9 straight, 4-10 against the betting line
- Week 12 (Thanksgiving): 10-6 straight, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 13: 10-5 direct, 11-4 against the betting line
- Week 14: 13-3 straight, 13-3 against the betting line