NFL Picks 2020 Week 16 The analysis and the pool for the penultimate week of action on the grid
LAfter three consecutive weeks of at least 8 wins against the line, the week 15 brought the first losing week since 11. 6-8-2, with some bad fortune in the From push that due to the number taken at a bad time it went from winner to draw. Arizona covered by scoring the only TD of the fourth quarter against Philly, when it was actually a one-field goal game. Do not forget this: Every half point counts in this of the bets.
It wasn’t a good week, especially considering inconsistency in logic. Yes, he didn’t hesitate to take the Jets +17.5, but he should have done the same with Cincinnati on Monday receiving two touchdowns. He mentioned that Carolina could get close to the end against Green Bay, nobody was betting on the Panthers … and I didn’t do the same in Washington against Seattle. Tennessee could crush Detroit and it did, just like Baltimore against Jacksonville and it passed from this. Errors that hurt more than some wrong reading.
That is in the past and we seek to get back on track in week 16. We repeat the formula of practically the entire season, publishing the game in this case the Christmas game on Thursday, and on Friday afternoon, after the official injury reports, the rest of the forecasts will come out. Remember that there are games on Friday and triple card on Saturday, we are not going to miss three games.
As always, the dotted line according to NFL Picks Watch entre parntesis. Winner vs. Uppercase Betting Line. Doubts, suggestions and comments, we will gladly address them on Twitter @ hlazzeri13.
The NFL gives the gift of a game on Christmas day, in the replay of the match of the final season wild card round. Much has changed, especially On the defensive side of the Vikings what of his 4 front and 2 linebackers only the least known of all remains, Shamar Stephen, why Eric Kendricks not playing for the third week in a row, Danielle Hunter hasn’t played all year, Anthony Barr was out the rest of the season in the first month, Everson Griffen is in Detroit and Linval Joseph is in Chargers.
Alvin Kamara and Latavius Murray must be pretty used, not like against KC, and they should use a lot of double tight end formations (Minnesota allows an exorbitant 63% success rate to 12 personnel), but New Orleans’ problem in recent years is Drew Brees. It just doesn’t pitch deep, which is the weakness of the Minnesota defense. And let’s not forget that Michael Thomas and Tre’Quan Smith are not playing either. The receiving corps is Emmanuel Sanders and guys out of the practice team.
The Vikings have three double-digit losses so far this year, including the Dan Bailey debacle in Tampa, and they always fight to the end. They could even take the game if they throw the ball early, but we know that Zimmer hates to throw the ball until he has no other choice.. So we’ll see Dalvin Cook crash down the line against the second-best running defense and then try to get Captain Kirk to work miracles.
DVOA has that the Saints are the second best total defense and against the run, third against the pass, but this is seriously influenced by poor competition they faced after their bye week (twice Atlanta, San Francisco with Mullens, Denver with practice team WR as QB, Chicago from Foles, Tampa). Removing the Bucs, who matched well with them, the rest did damage. If we see your itinerary, They have faced 8 teams ranked 1 to 16 in efficiency in the air game and KC scored 32, Green Bay 37, Chargers 27, Vegas 34, Carolina 24, Detroit 29. Vikings is right on the 16th.
It’s too much room of opportunity for him backdoor cover, though generates some haste that Minnesota could be found out (They need to win 2 and Arizona lose their 2, plus Chicago go 1-1 or worse), so there might be limited effort, but it’s more of a pick against Brees and broken ribs and punctured lung. And if they find 7.5 or more out there, all the better. Saints 27, VIKINGS (+7) 22.
- Week 1: 8-8 straight, 9-6-1 against the betting line
- Week 2: 13-3 straight, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 3: 9-6-1 direct, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 4: 7-8 straight, 7-7-1 against the betting line
- Week 5: 11-3 straight, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 6: 8-6 straight, 7-7 against the betting line
- Week 7: 11-3 direct, 8-6 against the betting line
- Week 8: 9-5 direct, 11-3 against the betting line
- Week 9: 7-7 direct, 1-13 against the betting line
- Week 10: 7-7 straight, 5-9 against the betting line
- Week 11: 5-9 straight, 4-10 against the betting line
- Week 12 (Thanksgiving): 10-6 straight, 8-8 against the betting line
- Week 13: 10-5 direct, 11-4 against the betting line
- Week 14: 13-3 straight, 13-3 against the betting line
- Week 15: 12-4 direct, 6-8-2 against the betting line