Every NFL team’s record against the spread and more

October 26, 2021


Week 7 was a rematch of the home teams after a slow start to the season. Will the books adjust or will they see it as a week-long spike in front of the crowds at home? The Cowboys remain the only undefeated team against point difference, while the Niners, Jets and WFT have only one coverage this season.

Here are your weekly trends and team-by-team analysis.


AFC East

ATS: 4-2
O / U: 4-2

What we know: If you don’t want to play the spread in this game, maybe consider a team total. The Bills have scored more than 30 points in five straight games, the longest streak in a season since the 2013 Broncos started eight in a row.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 3-4

What we know: That’s three overs in a row in New England games after under-chased in each of the first four weeks. They head to Los Angeles to take on a rested Chargers team this weekend.

ATS: 2-5
O / U: 5-2

What we know: The Dolphins opened the season by covering two of their first three games, but they haven’t been able to cover four weeks in a row. They will try to keep things close as a big underdog this weekend in Buffalo.

ATS: 1-5
O / U: 3-3

What we know: The Jets are 2-5 in their last seven home games, but Vegas has actually overcorrected those struggles as they are 5-2 ATS in those games. Joe Burrow takes the Bengals to MetLife this weekend.


AFC North

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 4-3

What we know: The Ravens have covered every even week this season and failed to cover every odd week … a tough break to have a Week 8 break. If you like anticipation lines, they host the Vikings in Week 9 .

ATS: 2-4
O / U: 1-4-1

What we know: There have been signs of offensive life (or a slight overcorrection in the betting market) over the past few weeks at Steelers games. Each of their first four games fell short, but they had one more and one push in the two weeks leading up to their week 7 bye. The Steelers head to Cleveland this week to face a Browns team after a mini-bye.

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 2-5

What we know: The Bengals play their third road game in three weeks Sunday against the Jets and that would be a concern if they weren’t rolling. They have covered the first two of this road trip, scoring 75 points in the process (they totaled 41 points in their first two road trips this season).

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 4-3

What we know: The home team has been on a seven-game unbeaten streak (resoundingly) in the Steelers-Browns rivalry. That’s good news for the hosts, the Browns, and if you like, the over has come in two of the three games during that stretch in games played in Cleveland.


AFC South

ATS: 2-4
O / U: 2-4

What we know: The Jags snapped their 20-game losing streak in Week 6 before their Week 7 break and are hoping to make two in a row when they head to Seattle to face a Seahawks team that is on a short break. Vegas suggests they will need to score more than 20 points to cover this week. The last time they did that? It was around their week 8 off last season (they scored 23 points in Week 6).

ATS: 5-2
O / U: 4-3

What we know: Who wins this game? That remains to be determined, but the winner is likely to light up the scoreboard, as the winner of Indianapolis’ last seven home games is averaging 31.3 points per game. The Titans hope to be that team when they head to Indy this weekend.

ATS: 5-2
O / U: 4-3

What we know: Since the start of last season, more than tickets have been cashed in nine of Titan’s 11 road games. Yes, the King Henry Express travels and travels well. When these two teams played in Indianapolis last season, the Titans won and crushed the over (45-26).

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 3-4

What we know: The Texans are 3-10 (5-8 ATS) in their last 13 home games. Vegas is giving them a lot of help this week as they are a huge dog with the Rams coming to town on Sunday.


AFC West

ATS: 4-2
O / U: 1-5

What we know: The Chargers are coming off their break after failing to cover in Baltimore. In the three weeks after their only other ATS loss this season, the Chargers averaged 35 points and only turned the ball over once. They host the Patriots on Sunday afternoon.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 2-5

What we know: Nine of the Broncos’ last 10 home wins have failed to see even 45 points scored. Washington travels to Denver this week.

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 4-3

What we know: The Raiders join the Ravens as the two farewell teams this week. When do you bet them? When you think their offense is in a good place. They have scored more than 25 points in their five total wins this season, while they totaled just 23 points in their two losses.

ATS: 2-5
O / U: 4-3

What we know: Including the 2020 postseason, the Chiefs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games (they were favored by at least seven points in five of those games). They welcome the Giants to Arrowhead for the final game of Week 8.


NFC East

ATS: 1-6
O / U: 4-3

What we know: Washington is struggling and travels to Denver to face a Broncos team from the mini bye. They are 1-4 in their last five games (both absolute and ATS), with those four losses averaging 16.3 points per game.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 3-3-1

What we know: Back-to-back reversals in Giant’s road games after the underdogs went 4-0-1 in their previous five road games. They travel to Arrowhead for Monday Night Football this week.

ATS: 6-0
O / U: 5-1

What we know: The Cowboys are 6-1 and ATS in the last seven cases the over has hit. A pair of well-rested powerful offenses will meet this weekend in Minnesota.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 3-4

What we know: Do we see points when the Eagles travel to Detroit this weekend? Answer that question and you are answering which side you like ATS on. Philadelphia is 3-1 ATS in games that are under the total this season, compared to 0-3 when the total is over.


NFC North

ATS: 6-1
O / U: 2-5

What we know: Offenses will attract all the attention for Thursday night from Green Bay in Arizona, but these two defenses could be overlooked with this total of more than 50. Did you know that there are three teams that have not allowed more than 22 points each of his last? four games? Even better? Two of them play in this game (Bucs are third)!

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 1-6

What we know: Minor tickets have been cashed in eight of Chicago’s 11 home games since the start of last season. In a battle of quarterback situations far from stability, the 49ers arrive at Soldier Field for Week 8.

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 2-5

What we know: The Lions have lost seven straight home games, but at least they’ve covered four of those games! They host the Eagles on Sunday afternoon.

ATS: 3-3
O / U: 3-3

What we know: The Vikings are coming off a Week 7 goodbye. Sound familiar? They also had a week 7 break last season and quickly covered three in a row after the week off.


NFC South

ATS: 3-3
O / U: 2-4

What we know: Week 12, 2018 vs Atlanta. That was the last time the Saints covered a home game with an over / under of at least 50 points. They have failed to cover the last six such cases and host the high-flying Buccaneers on Sunday.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 4-3

What we know: Under’s tickets have been cashed in back-to-back Buccaneers road games after a 5-1 run of overs at those venues. Tampa heads to New Orleans this week in a rematch of a game we saw in the NFC divisional round a season ago (30-20 Bucs).

ATS: 3-3
O / U: 4-2

What we know: The Falcons are 0-5 (1-4 ATS) in their last five true home games in October. Tough rest for them, as this game against the Panthers falls on the last day of the month.

ATS: 3-4
O / U: 2-5

What we know: The Panthers covered their first three games this season, but have now failed to advance four in a row. The difference? Defending. In those first three games, they allowed just 10 points per game, but have allowed 29 points per game since. They will look to reverse that trend this weekend in Atlanta against the Falcons.


NFC West

ATS: 6-1
O / U: 3-4

What we know: This will be the Cardinals’ fifth game with a short break during the Kliff Kingsbury era. They’ve lost three of those games outright, but it’s been exciting: All four games have been one-possession games. We have a date to watch Thursday night this week with Green Bay traveling to Arizona.

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 4-2-1

What we know: Sunday’s game will already be the fourth game of the season in which the Rams have been favored by more than seven points. They weren’t able to cover at this venue last week, but they did manage to cover their first two instances this season.

ATS: 4-3
O / U: 0-6-1

What we know: The Seahawks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games on a short break, a difficult trend to take with a backup quarterback as they host the Jags off on Sunday (after playing at MNF to end the Week 7).

ATS: 1-5
O / U: 3-3

What we know: If you have yet to learn, betting a total on 49ers games requires looking to the end. They have allowed at least seven points in each of the last seven quarters, averaging 21.3 total points in the final draw. Things could get fun at the end of a game that would otherwise be hard to watch in Chicago.


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